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Cedar Global MarketsData via FRED® (St. Louis Fed). Not endorsed by the St. Louis Fed. Delayed / as published.

EIA Raises 2026-27 Oil Forecasts as Global Stocks Drain About 400 Million Barrels

in Energy, Americas
Reading Time: 1 min read
Vast crude oil storage tank farm at dusk, illustrating EIA STEO inventory drain and raised annual oil forecasts without fake STEO dollar figures on image.
byCedar Global Markets
September 10, 2026
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The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s September Short-Term Energy Outlook, released Sep. 9, raised its 2026 and 2027 oil price forecasts versus the August STEO, EIA primary tables show. Annual average Brent is now $91.01 for 2026 and $73.74 for 2027. Annual average WTI is $84.65 for 2026 and $69.74 for 2027. Those annual averages are not the spot or futures prints above $100 that dominate session price-action packages.

EIA said global oil inventories have decreased by about 400 million barrels so far this year, with further draws expected through end-2026. The outlook text points to Brent near about $90 a barrel in the second half of 2026, then a gradual path toward about $74 in 2027 as production rises and inventories rebuild. Some Middle East export constraints are assumed to persist through end-2026 in the STEO framing. This package is the official forecast revision, distinct from Brent breach and Wednesday settle stories.

Sources: EIA STEO hub, tables, and full PDF, release Sep. 9, 2026; EIA compare.pdf vs August STEO.

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